Before you begin to read this article, I would like to bring it to your attention that many of you will be accusing me of idiocy. Although, I am often accused of stating my opinions firmly, that is not true. My articles are composed of valid facts. However, you may or may not like my manner of presenting them. In case you think that you won’t like them, it would be better if you totally refrained from reading my articles. If you happen to like them and get through a whole article, I will be looking forward to your comments.
One of the most widespread myths among hazard players, and especially among Roulette players, is the illusion of the benefit of restarting the software. At a certain moment in the game, players tend to restart the casino software (turn it off and on), because they are convinced it will help them to avoid a future losing streak.
It is a completely wrong conviction that when the casino program saves the results of the game, it takes them into consideration in future games. That’s why many players simply think that, after a certain series, the software will “behave normally” if restarted – that means the results will be balanced and there will be no short-time fluctuation (understood as a long series of certain phenomena – colors, dozens, or defeats, etc.) and thus the player will lose nothing from his account.
That is total nonsense of course!
The player “helps himself” mentally. However, the RNG functions differently.
I have explained several times that the software generates the results, in the same manner, all the time and that the results are completely independent of each other. So whether you won or lost, or even if you gave the generator a pause, it simply doesn’t matter. Of course, even the fact that the software saves your results has no effect because they are not taken into consideration. There is no reason to do so.
Almost all the myths and absurd paranoid cases of players can be answered by the explanation or examples that I have already used before.
The following nonsense is, unfortunately, no exception.
- Regularity of a Casino
Everyone who runs a casino knows that pure coincidence and regularity are sufficient. The pay ratio simply doesn’t correspond to real chances, so it is clear that, in the long-term view, the casino will profit.
- Again the Example of a Coin Toss
Imagine you flipped a coin five times and every time you got tails. Then you decide that for you to get heads, you will wait until the next day or bet with a different person, thinking it will help. But that is a completely new set of results :)
Thanks to this example, it is clear that the coin has no consciousness or memory and it doesn’t care what side it landed on before. It doesn’t remember the previous results so, again, it doesn’t matter who you bet with or whether you give it a rest for a while. Even exchanging the coin for another one is completely pointless once the prerequisite of regularity is fulfilled. It just doesn’t help at all.
- Long-term Continuity
In an article called “The biggest myths and mistakes”, in point no. 7 I explain that an unfavourable series can occur at any time. Right after the software is turned on, you may be very surprised. Numbers are simply generated in the same way all the time and independently of each other. It really doesn’t matter whether the RNG has been restarted or whether you haven’t played for a week.
[caption id="attachment_6736" align="aligncenter" width="414"] wait martingale[/caption]
Example of “Wait Martingale” Roulette system: As the straight arrow shows, a radical fall could happen at any time during the game! I repeat that it really doesn’t have anything to do with restarting the software.
The Necessity of Changing Systems
I consider this next hoax to be really and utterly idiotic.
In brief, it is an unbelievably stupid conviction that, after some time, the casino software is able to recognize your playing system and to implement measures to cause your system to cease working. That’s why many players think that changing the style (system) of play is essential so that the casino software doesn’t recognize how and what they are actually playing.
Anyone who considers this to be true is truly an imbecile!
The origins of this unbelievable nonsense are probably winnings, which, at first, can be achieved by using practically any playing system. Nevertheless, the number of people who are convinced of the truth of these myths is astonishing.
There is NO actual working system for winning at Roulette and there CANNOT be one!!! (as I’ve said before, at least a thousand times). Those of you who do not understand this, are probably completely brainless or cognitively dysfunctional at some point.
The complexity of this conspiracy theory itself is stunning, because it develops total nonsense into even bigger trash. Leaving out the fact that there is no functioning system, I will try to focus on the second part of this myth. Recognizing a system that the player is using and developing a countermeasure which leads to non-systematical results is pointless. If the software had the tendency to cheat, which it logically hasn’t, it would definitely NOT use such a dumb means that these players assume it does. It would simply suffice for the ball to fall anywhere but in the place you bet on, from the very beginning. In that case, your system is of no interest to anybody at the beginning or at the end of the game.
In examining these myths, it can clearly be observed what these players are able to come up with, while being unaware of the fact that they are contradicting themselves.
The delusion of the benefit of restarting the software and of changing systems literally doubts the regularity of the game. It is surprisingly those who believe in long-term winnings in Roulette that suffer from these delusions.
An easier and more effective means of roulette cheating could be invented if the software was meant to play unfairly and no restart or change of system could ever confuse it or influence it in any way!
The Beginners’ Luck Phenomenon
Although I’ve already expressed myself in connection to this hogwash in the “Biggest myths and mistakes of Roulette players” article, I consider it highly appropriate to mention it here once more for several reasons. Firstly, I received a couple of emails afterwards that indirectly expressed opinions and demanded explanations for initial successes. Secondly, this is a version partially related to the previous delusion (The benefit of changing playing systems). And, last but not least, it undoubtedly belongs in an article which is concerned with the same topic.
It is again a (completely wrong) statement that the software lets the player win more often at the beginning, to lure him to play again and again and to make him lose a lot more money at the end.
The reason for the existence of this myth has been explained in one the previous article. I will now focus on it not having been thought through at all and that players are not able to notice it.
If the casino software was cheating, it would be really simple to abuse it once it was figured out by somebody (and there seem to be a few of those who think that they have figured it out). There is a huge number of casinos around, so you could just play while the software lets you win and when it stops, you could just go somewhere else and repeat the action. It is of no importance that the exact turning point would be very hard to estimate, because there is no point in trying to squeeze the maximum from a casino. It suffices to leave with some profit and it would still give you a considerable advantage when playing.
I hope I don’t have to explain why the possible argument fails about the difference in the software of different casinos.
Practice Game vs. Game with Money Bets
This myth was also mentioned in the previous article and the reasons for mentioning it here are practically the same as for the Beginners’ Luck phenomenon.
Although I have explained the folly of the previous statements by pointing out the inconsistencies or contradictions in them, there is no similar thing to point out in the next case.
I simply admit that this is one of the few (maybe the only) theories which would actually make sense in the real world. The player would simply gain confidence that winning is easy thanks to the practice game and would be more motivated to stake his real money in the casino. Also, the owner of the casino doesn’t have to cheat in the real game according to this theory, which also shows its credibility. The software could simply manipulate the practice game to result slightly more in favor of the player and leave the real game as it is – i.e. letting pure coincidence decide the result, in which case the casino has a long-term statistical advantage and thus makes a profit.
The arguments that I do have against this myth are weak in comparison with those against the other delusions. However, they are adequate for an intelligent person (I would like to advise the reader to go through the initial reasons for this myth, which I have provided in the previous article).
- There are independent organizations (the most common and one of the biggest is perhaps eCogra, iTechLabs, TST) who run legitimate software testing. So, if the provider of the software wants to have any credibility, he will obtain these “Fair Play” certificates. The biggest providers (NetEnt, Microgaming, Playtech,...) already have them of course.
- Practically anyone who questions the legitimacy of software (no matter how), is conducting argumentation by an anecdotal experience. This is a basic mistake which cannot be taken into account at all in a serious discussion. However, one encounters it very often and may not be aware of it. That’s why I am furious – I have repeatedly to express myself in connection with the same, absolutely incompetent comments.
I cite an example:
Practically in all of the cases I have read about, players figured out the unfairness of the software thanks to their own ridiculous experience. Most of the time, something like this is recounted:
“I was winning easily when playing in the practice mode, but when I switched to the real mode for real money, everything changed and I lost everything. I doubt it was fair.”
“My friend and I covered the whole Roulette cloth and left out only five numbers, and out of a total of five spins, the ball fell outside our bets three times!!! There is no doubt that the software is being manipulated.”
To argue with the individual examples (even if you can find x similar cases, they will still be separate phenomena) for you to beat the statistical facts is stupid and ridiculous. It is the same as if I told you that there is no harm in smoking cigarettes – quite the contrary because I had a grandpa who lived to 101 years and smoked 30 cigarettes per day from the time he was 20 years old.
If you want to doubt the legitimacy of casino software, you have to do it differently!
Casino Software Simply Doesn’t Cheat!
I have said several times that casinos don’t have to cheat, because in the long-term view, their profit is guaranteed. The beauty of this business is based on the short-time fluctuations when there is a chance that the player will win, which happens quite often too.
Practically all casinos offer games in a multiplayer version, with several people sitting at a table and betting individually on the same game, e.g. Roulette, Blackjack, etc. Imagine a real situation at a Roulette table, when the players cover the whole Roulette cloth with distinct bets (e.g. all three dozens are covered and one player bets on the zero too). Thus on all possible results – where will the ball stop now? It doesn’t matter of course, because in the long term, the casino will get approximately 2.7 % of the bet money.
The argument that the ball will stop at a place, so that the casino doesn’t lose (even if it actually cannot in the long-term view), or so that the casino wins is, of course, totally moronic.
Online casinos were offering quite advantageous bonuses before, which gave rise to a relatively big stand-alone branch – Casino scalping. This was basically a systematic abuse of bonus offers in order to gain profit – for those interested: “casino scalping, a.k.a. robbing casinos blind”. Thanks to this website, there were quite a number of players who made their living by casino scalping and earned a lot of money due to statistical advantage. According to some losers, casinos should defend themselves by manipulating the software while keeping those favorable bonuses as they are. But nothing like that ever happened and casinos used completely different countermeasures. Today’s bonuses are not profitable for a scalper because there is no value in them. Most casinos, despite giving players a bonus, make them invest more and for a longer period of time, so that the statistical advantage of the casino occurs and players end up losing more than winning. Today’s bonuses make sense only to recreational players who aim to play for as long as they can and to enjoy the game, even with only a slight chance of winning, although not at top seed.
And why can’t you play games like Blackjack or Roulette with some kind of bonus (e.g. even bets) if the software is manipulated? Would the bonus matter in that case? NO! It just isn’t manipulated! The differences in betting limits and rules of individual casinos could also be taken as an argument in favor of that.
Casino clubs and maybe some other casinos of that time offered single-deck Blackjack with rules that allowed comp points, thanks to which the player had a slight advantage. The game has already been pulled out. It is nothing exceptional for a casino to remove a game. It simply didn’t make any profit from the game and decided not to rent it anymore.
Take a look at the payout statistics of individual casinos for various months. For example, looking at Pinnacle Casino is mighty interesting, because you can see that in some games (mainly Video Poker, but also others) the casino tends to lose some money from time to time. It’s one of the most popular companies, mainly for betters with a set rate that is unmatched. The software of this casino naturally has all the necessary certificates and even the statistical data are based on real audited facts, not on imagination.
[caption id="attachment_6737" align="aligncenter" width="463"] Video poker payout[/caption]
In the previous article, I mentioned that the randomness of the RNG is disputable. That is true but nevertheless, the software is regular/legitimate and doesn’t cheat. To say this, I only need to know that the result is not based on players’ bets and that one can really win!
If you are able to discover some determinants according to which the results are generated, it can be used to your advantage! This exists when playing real Roulette, when you can more or less assess where the ball will stop, when you take into account the speed of the ball, of the Roulette wheel and the place of insertion of the ball.
I would like to point out that I have mentioned the casino business in general. I do not deny that there may be some morons who are not aware of the counter productivity of cheating and running on manipulated software. But that is a topic for future articles.
Accusing casinos of not paying out the winnings is a whole different story, which I will also touch on in future articles.
Although this article is very extensive, I have left out many things (other stupidities and trifles). In one of my following blog spots, I will be responding to some comments which I haven’t reacted to yet.
So to sum it up:
A normal casino doesn’t cheat (and the majority of casinos are normal), because it would just be acting against itself!
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